Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.023006 0.024720 0.026506 0.028507 0.030689 0.033000 0.035634
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019998 0.022442 0.025121 0.028285 0.031932 0.036017 0.040958
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018150 0.021040 0.024332 0.028380 0.033249 0.038950 0.046178
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016536 0.019664 0.023339 0.028005 0.033816 0.040871 0.050173
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015159 0.018413 0.022334 0.027450 0.034011 0.042229 0.053440
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014148 0.017510 0.021653 0.027191 0.034484 0.043883 0.057109
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013277 0.016708 0.021021 0.026913 0.034862 0.045373 0.060597
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012390 0.015820 0.020210 0.026322 0.034746 0.046146 0.063093
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011932 0.015460 0.020054 0.026577 0.035764 0.048496 0.067936
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011414 0.014983 0.019707 0.026533 0.036339 0.050230 0.071972
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011070 0.014721 0.019628 0.026843 0.037416 0.052723 0.077289
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010569 0.014212 0.019177 0.026590 0.037642 0.053955 0.080728
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010146 0.013797 0.018842 0.026491 0.038097 0.055570 0.084910
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009675 0.013291 0.018352 0.026133 0.038134 0.056534 0.088103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009361 0.012996 0.018148 0.026186 0.038795 0.058498 0.093072
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008956 0.012548 0.017698 0.025838 0.038799 0.059399 0.096286
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008535 0.012060 0.017166 0.025332 0.038514 0.059802 0.098644
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008215 0.011707 0.016820 0.025096 0.038648 0.060890 0.102275
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007911 0.011366 0.016475 0.024843 0.038733 0.061890 0.105805
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007554 0.010931 0.015969 0.024305 0.038309 0.061985 0.107649
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007406 0.010809 0.015941 0.024537 0.039192 0.064394 0.114025
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007201 0.010591 0.015754 0.024497 0.039602 0.065983 0.118934
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007081 0.010501 0.015762 0.024780 0.040582 0.068650 0.126166